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Mar Roxas says no to BPO perks

PinoyBusiness.org reports that Senator Mar Roxas III disagreed on providing generous incentives to business-process outsourcing (BPO) companies in the Philippines during the 5th Contact Center Association of the Philippines (CCAP) Annual Call Center Conference and Expo 2009 at the SMX Convention Center in Pasay City. Roxas said incentives meant for the companies should be modified to focus more on the training and skills development of Filipino talent.

Do you love Mar Roxas now that he can curse?

In her SONA last July 27, 2009, President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo took a pot shot at Senator-and-presidential-aspirant Mar Roxas, saying:

Pursuant to law, I am placing other drugs under a maximum retail price. To those who want to be President, this advice: If you want something done, do it hard, do it well. Don’t pussyfoot. Just do it. Don’t say bad words in public.

Loathe as I am to admit it, I did smirk. Oh hell with it, I laughed. Out loud. That was fucking brilliant. After all, the good Senator has had a long history of being indecisive and timid; hell, he even had the freaking MILF telling him to get married already. When you have a separatist group giving you advice on your love life… well, that says something.

But when he finally showed some testicular fortitude (with 2010 fast approaching) by taking a concrete, point-of-no-return stand?

He gets spanked. The man gets no respect, I tell you:

Like the immortal Rodney Dangerfield, Mar Roxas doesn't get any respect

Like the immortal Rodney Dangerfield, Mar Roxas doesn't get any respect


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Culling the herd: a troubling trend in education in Western Visayas

Take a look at the chart below; the data is from the Philippine Institute of Development Studies’ Economic and Social Database, projected until 2015 using a best fit (least squares) linear regression to predict y values from x values — in other words, using Excel’s FORECAST() function ^^

Educational Participation and Cohort Survival Rate in Region 6

Educational Participation and Cohort Survival Rate in Region 6

You can examine the data here: Google Docs | Microsoft Excel | Sun OpenOffice Spreadsheet | Adobe PDF

Net enrolment ratio or participation rate is the ratio of the enrolment for the age group corresponding to the official school age in the elementary/secondary level to the population of the same age group in a given year. The official school age is 6-11 for elementary and 12-15 for secondary.

Cohort Survival Rate is a measure of the efficiency and effectiveness of the delivery of education services in the country, and is defined as the percentage of enrollees at the beginning grade or year in a given school year who reached the final grade or year of the elementary or secondary level. This means that from a cohort or group of 100 Grade 1 pupils, only 62 pupils reached Grade 6. [Source: National Statistical Coordination Board]

Participation rate is going down, and cohort survival is going up; from the years 2002 to 2007, there’s been a 10% decrease (from 85.95% to 75.44%) in participation rate for elementary, and a 4% decrease (from 57.32% to 53.83%) in high school, while cohort survival rates increased by 12% (from 62.84% to 74.77%) for elementary and a 7% increase (from 73.51% to 81.06%) for high school in the same span. That means that while a child in Region VI enrolling in elementary or high school is more and more likely to finish his/her education, fewer and fewer are able to begin. What this implies — and I freely admit this is just my reading of the data — is that poorer families are having an increasingly difficult time sending their children to school; what’s left are the children of middle and upper class families that can afford to finish basic education anyway.

In short, a “culling” of the herd.

So we will not forget, and continue to be inspired

A relative shared a link on Facebook to this video a few minutes ago; it’s all the more powerful because he was there on EDSA I. This brings a chill down my spine every time I hear it: a poignant reminder that once upon a time, we stood up for what was true and just, and we performed miracles.

Here are the beautiful lyrics by Jim Paredes:

‘Di na ‘ko papayag mawala ka muli.
‘Di na ‘ko papayag na muli mabawi,
Ating kalayaan kay tagal natin mithi.
‘Di na papayagang mabawi muli.

Magkakapit-bisig libo-libong tao.
Kay sarap palang maging Pilipino.
Sama-sama iisa ang adhikain.
Kelan man ‘di na paalipin.

Handog ng Pilipino sa mundo,
Mapayapang paraang pagbabago.
Katotohanan, kalayaan, katarungan
Ay kayang makamit na walang dahas.
Basta’t magkaisa tayong lahat.

Masdan ang nagaganap sa aming bayan.
Nagkasama ng mahirap at mayaman.
Kapit-bisig madre, pari, at sundalo.
Naging Langit itong bahagi ng mundo.

Huwag muling payagang umiral ang dilim.
Tinig ng bawat tao’y bigyan ng pansin.
Magkakapatid lahat sa Panginoon.
Ito’y lagi nating tatandaan.

Mapayapang paraang pagbabago.
Katotohanan, kalayaan, katarungan.
Ay kayang makamit na walang dahas.
Basta’t magkaisa tayong lahat!

Post SONA ‘09 Bullets

Post SONA ‘09 Thoughts

Driving home, I was listening on the radio to some parts of the recently concluded State of the Nation Address (SONA) by PGMA, when she said this little tidbit:

The state of our nation is a strong economy.

Now this one of those times I’m glad I never go above 40 km/h, because I almost lost control of the wheel when a ginormous frikkin’ white owl landed on my hood and screamed at me:

The economy is more fair to the poor than ever before... O'Rly?

The economy is more fair to the poor than ever before... O'Rly?

Let’s look at some of the points I found really interesting:

[…]Kung meron man tayong malaking kaaway na tinalo, walang iba kundi ang utang, iyong foreign debt. Past administrations conjured the demon of foreign debt. We exorcised it[…]

Ows? The Bureau of Treasury has some interesting data on this: Outstanding Debt (yearly) | Debt Indicator (yearly). Here are some visualizations (feel free to check the numbers, I’m doing this in the middle of the night):

Data

Data

Outstanding Debt

Outstanding Debt

I don’t feel exorcised of; more like exocised at (which is probably what she meant). According to IBON’s research on the Bureau of Treasury’s data, government debt has continued to rise to P4.23 trillion in March 2009 which is almost double the P2.17 trillion debt inherited from the Estrada government. The administration has effectively been borrowing an additional P256.8 million annually since coming to power.

If there’s anything good about that data, it’s the slowing growth of debt — that is, until 2008 hit, and it shot right back up again:

Debt Growth Rate

Debt Growth Rate

Google Docs: spreadsheet | web page

Other download options: Debt vs Education Excel 2007 | Debt vs Education Excel 97-2003

[…]Pardon my partiality for the teaching profession. I was a teacher….Kaya namuhunan tayo ng malaki sa edukasyon at skills training[…]

Ah yes, the teaching profession; let’s take a look at how the administration has budgeted for education, shall we?

Budget Allotment for Education

Budget Allotment for Education

A nice, upward trend since 2003… until, of course, we start to do some comparisons. According to the aforementioned IBON research:

  • The Arroyo administration (2001-09) allotted only 15.1% of the national budget to education which is lower than under Estrada (18%, 1999-2000) and Ramos (16.6%, 1992-98).
  • In 2009, the Arroyo administration is only spending P6 per Filipino per day on education — while paying the equivalent of P21 on debt service.

Let’s have a nice graph to show some of that data:

Budget Allotment for Education vs Debt Service

Budget Allotment for Education vs Debt Service

According to Bulatlat.com, P2B of that budget will be spent for the construction of classrooms; unfortunately: “with the P2 billion budget, only 3,076 classrooms can be built. Arroyo said that each classroom costs P650,000 ($13,882.96). In a statement, the Alliance of Concerned Teachers (ACT) estimated that the DepEd needs to construct an additional 41,905 classrooms in order to attain a 1:45 classroom-to- student ratio.”

[…]Bumaba ang bilang ng nagsasabing mahihirap sila, mula 59% sa 47%[…] The economy is more fair to the poor than ever before[…]

Let’s take a gander at that IBON research again:

  • [There has been a] 530,642 increase in the number of poor families between 2000 and 2006 – to 4.7 million poor families in 2006.
  • 2.1 million increase in the number of poor Filipinos between 2000 and 2006 – to 27.6 million in 2006.
  • Meanwhile the net income of the Top 1000 corporations in the Philippines increased 490% between 2001 and 2007, from P116 billion to P686 billion.
  • In 2006, the net worth of just the 20 richest Filipinos – including close Arroyo allies Lucio Tan, Enrique Razon, Jr., Eduardo Cojuangco, Enrique Aboitiz and others – was P801 billion (US$15.6 billion), which was equivalent to the combined income for the year of the poorest 10.4 million Filipino families.

Your Pareto Principle at work, ladies and gentlemen. Let me channel the late great Billy Mays now: But wait! There’s more!

Lumikha tayo ng walong milyong trabaho, an average of a million per year, much, much more than at any other time[…]

IBON:

  • The period 2001-2008 is the longest period of sustained high unemployment in the country’s history – the true unemployment rate averaged some 11.2 percent.
  • 621,000 increase in unemployment between Jan-01 and Apr-09 – to 4.2 million.
  • 1.9 million increase in underemployment between Jan-01 and Apr-09 – to 6.6 million.
  • Combined unemployment and underemployment increased 2.5 million between Jan-01 and Apr-09 – to 10.8 million.
  • The quality of jobs has worsened: merely part-time work increased by 5.9 million and now accounts for 14.3 million or two out of five of all jobs. Moreover, those “with jobs but not working” more than doubled and increased by 489,000 to reach 839,000.
  • The period 2001-2008 has seen the most Filipinos forced abroad to find jobs in the country’s history – deployments averaged 990,000 annually compared to 469,709 (Aquino), 713,505 (Ramos) and 839,324 (Estrada); some 1.24 million were deployed last year or 3,400 Filipinos leaving every day. There are over 9 million Filipinos forced to find work abroad.

That, dear friends, is the true state of the nation: we’re in a rut, hanging on by the fingernails of OFW’s. Allow me to leave you with this moment of Zen:

As persons, we may lose our bodies but we can always save our souls. As a people, we may lose our riches but we can always recover our spirit. That is the point of struggle, that is the essence of victory. The time to do so is now. It is the critical hour. It is the twilight hour.

Let us fight to save ourselves. Let us fight to save a nation.

State of Grace, Conrado de Quiros

SONA ‘09 Full Text Transcript

Just in case you missed it, here’s the full-text version of President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo’s 9th and (hopefully) final State of the Nation Address:

Google Docs: view | download

Other download options: SONA 2009 Full-Text Transcript Text File (UTF-8) | SONA 2009 Full-Text Transcript PDF | SONA 2009 Full-Text Transcript Word 2007 | SONA 2009 Full-Text Transcript Word 97-2003

Hat tip to Mssr Panganiban of TechAtHand.

What did you think? How much of the supposedly favorable economic indicators apply to you and yours? I have my own thoughts on the matter — which I hope to finish writing tonight — but I’d love to hear everybody’s take as well.

SONA 2009 Bullets

  • The IBON Foundation paints a different picture than what you’ll hear in the President’s SONA for 2009. Here’s an account of what’s really happened since GMA’s 2001 SONA“The last eight years of the Arroyo administration have resulted in record joblessness, deteriorating quality of jobs, falling household incomes, increasing poverty, fiscal crisis, unprecedented debt and debt service, social service cutbacks, and deeper Philippine underdevelopment.” Particularly troubling: “In 2006, the net worth of just the 20 richest Filipinos – including close Arroyo allies Lucio Tan, Enrique Razon, Jr., Eduardo Cojuangco, Enrique Aboitiz and others – was P801 billion (US$15.6 billion), which was equivalent to the combined income for the year of the poorest 10.4 million Filipino families.”
  • The Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism (PCIJ) points out the more fundamental concerns were neglected while the President is busy patting herself on the back“During the Estrada administration, the per capita expenditure for health was at P201. Under the Arroyo presidency, it went down to P184. On education, annual per pupil expenditure was at P5,830 under Estrada, and down to P5,467 under Arroyo […] According to the PMS, 11.4 million jobs were created in the last five years. The NSO report, however, puts the figure at less than four million.”
  • Adarna calls the legacy of GMA as one of bribes, betrayal and corruption“The government has lost its moral ascendancy to govern due to the long list of scandals, electoral fraud and corruption issues that have mired its rule. The Arroyo administration has long ceased to perform as a role model government for the youth. It has caused the widespread disillusionment among young people and has been a disappointment to the youth’s desire to instill reforms in government.”
  • EQ has a lot of good questions for GMA“‘The days of plunder are over’.This was your bold, proud statement during the plunder trial for ex-President Erap. What happened along the way?”
  • Newz Around Us has Pagbabago’s statement for tomorrow’s SONA“Mrs. Arroyo’s rule is characterized by lies, machinations and the complete absence of integrity. This is currently exemplified by her insistence on clinging to power by illegally amending the Philippine Constitution through “Cha-cha”, engineering a palace-sponsored coup d’etat disguised as “emergency rule” and “transition government” and other nefarious schemes.”
  • Cayetano Paderanga has a rosier opinion of the last 9 years of Gloria rule, preferring to call it “mixed”“The best claim the administration could make for the last eight years would be the faster growth of output (the gross domestic product). From a compounded annual average of 2.45 percent in the 1990s, the growth rate has increased to an average of 4.28 percent.”
  • Tomas Africa looks at the employment angle“Looking back over the past years, there has been no sustainable jobs added to industry […] In the April 2009 Labor Force Survey, the additional 1.5 million jobs were net of the increase of 2.6 million workers who worked for less than 40 hours a week and of the decrease of about 1.1 million workers who worked for 40 hours or more.”
  • IBON has some more data regarding the above bullet“Some 1.3 million or the overwhelming majority of the supposedly 1.5-million new jobs created since last year are actually non-earning, poorly earning or otherwise insecure jobs including part-time work. In April 2009, 540,000 of the jobs created were either unpaid family work (394,000) or domestic household help (146,000). IBON notes that these are jobs that notoriously earn far below minimum wage, if at all. Another 803,000 jobs were created in the own-account category ’self-employed’ […] There has also been a drastic 2.4 million-increase in part-time work which, at 14.3 million out of total employed of 35 million, now accounts for a massive 41% of jobs. The number of those in full-time work in turn fell by 925,000.”
  • Isagani A. Cruz tackles the legal issues faced by the administration“In the past eight and a half years, President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo faced several major cases involving constitutional issues before the Supreme Court. She won some and lost others, depending on one’s political orientation.”
  • Chiz Escudero shares his take on the SONA: “SANA”

July 23 ‘09 Bullets

  • Loren Legarda launches a new website, and takes several pages off the Obama campaign’s aesthetic and sensibilities, with the emphasis on change“Are you ready to change our country and help our world as well? You can start by making my cause your cause. Remember, real change starts in you.” The pukey yellow background aside, it’s probably the best designed site so far.
  • Still not sure who to vote for in 2010? Relax, there’s time yet; but in the meantime, BongV of Filipino Voices came up with a Kepner-Tregoe decision matrix to help you make up your mindcaveat: qualitative factoral matrices are buggy at best, even in the business world where they’re often used, since assigning an arbitrary quantitative value to a qualitative element is really just a prettier way of saying “go with your gut” :) Where the chart has value, though — and it’s something some detractors don’t get — is that it forces you to think about the values, at least. Remember: mind tools aren’t supposed to make your decisions for you; you’re the one responsible for that :)

Using Google’s tools to track the 2010 Elections

Hat tip to this post for the idea to use Google Trends for tracking the more tech-savvy (well, those that use Google search anyway) voter’s interest — I can’t quite be certain when those “padyak” ads came out, but I’m guessing it’s around the time Mar’s search popularity spiked. Interest in Manny Villar seems to hold steady, and is currently holding a tenuous grip on the top spot — a state of affairs reflected by the recent SWS survey results he commissioned.

I’m a huge visualization fan, and these kinds of tools go a long way in making the wealth of information we have available a bit more digestible. Click on the image below to see the query for yourself.

2010 Presidential Candidates

2010 Presidential Candidates

On a related note, I’ve been using Google’s News Timeline as a kind of feed reader a lot lately (click on the image to see the query):

2010 Philippine Elections

2010 Philippine Elections

It doesn’t do blogs yet, but it indexes news just fine, and the compact design just makes for better skimming, IMO.

I’m also trying out Google’s Squared app, and although the query options are a bit limited at the moment, it does provide a nice “at-a-glance” functionality. Click on the image below to see my table.

2010 Presidential Candidates

2010 Presidential Candidates

Somebody do a mashup, please? :)